Polymarket's 26.5% Iran Invasion Bet: Signal or Noise?
The prediction market is pricing a 26.5% chance of a US ground invasion of Ir...
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Extreme Fear
Market Sentiment
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Team and early investor shares released
Block reward halving event
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
92 million ARB released
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Bitcoin Season
The prediction market is pricing a 26.5% chance of a US ground invasion of Ir...
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